Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Necaxa badgeNecaxavsCruz Azul badgeCruz Azul

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.68

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.68

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model61.3%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Necaxa badge

Necaxa

Attack50
Defence53
Form54
Cruz Azul badge

Cruz Azul

Attack59
Defence46
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.0%
Our model64.5%
The market56.5%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.77

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.68

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market61.7%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.58

Draw No Bet

Cruz Azul (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market64.1%
Edge
-14.0
Odds
1.56

Match Winner

Cruz Azul Win

Correct
Our model35.4%
The market50.8%
Edge
-15.4
Odds
1.97

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.6%

1-1

11.4%

2-1

8.1%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.