Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Necaxa badgeNecaxavsLeon badgeLeon

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
57.5%
Edge
+0.9 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +0.9%
Our model58.4%
The market57.5%

The market underrated this by 0.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Necaxa badge

Necaxa

Attack59
Defence48
Form63
Leon badge

Leon

Attack81
Defence43
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market76.9%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market57.5%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Leon (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market62.4%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Leon Win

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model42.3%
The market30.3%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
3.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.