FA Cup badgeFA Cup · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Needham Market badgeNeedham MarketvsStanway Rovers badgeStanway Rovers

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
46.3%
Edge
+15.8 pts
Best odds
2.16

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.16

MediumEdge +15.8%
Our model62.1%
The market46.3%

The market underrated this by 15.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Needham Market badge

Needham Market

Attack42
Defence50
Form38
Stanway Rovers badge

Stanway Rovers

Attack14
Defence35
Form10

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model87.9%
The market90.9%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

Needham Market (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model81.2%
The market76.3%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.8%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market46.3%
Edge
+15.8
Odds
2.16

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Needham Market Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market64.9%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.54

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model22.0%
The market25.3%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
3.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

22.0%

0-0

17.7%

2-0

16.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.