UEFA Europa Conference League · 22 July 2026AI PICK

Neftchi BakuvsDinamo Minsk

2 - 4

Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 55.8%
Market said: 45.5%
Edge: +10.3 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +10.3%

Our model55.8%

The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Neftchi Baku

Attack33

Defence75

Form25

Dinamo Minsk

Attack59

Defence82

Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +14.3%Correct

Our model74.2%

The market59.9%

Edge: +14.3
Odds: 1.67

Draw No Bet

Dinamo Minsk (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Correct

Our model57.9%

The market57.1%

Edge: +0.8
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.3%Correct

Our model55.8%

The market45.5%

Edge: +10.3
Odds: 2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.3%Correct

Our model55.3%

The market50.0%

Edge: +5.3
Odds: 2.00

Match Winner

Dinamo Minsk Win

Edge +20.9%Correct

Our model50.3%

The market29.4%

Edge: +20.9
Odds: 3.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.8%

The market11.3%

Edge: -1.5
Odds: 8.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.8%

1-1

12.3%

0-2

8.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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