Second League badgeSecond League · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Nesebar badgeNesebarvsPirin Blagoevgrad badgePirin Blagoevgrad

7 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +0.3%
Our model58.4%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Nesebar badge

Nesebar

Attack46
Defence38
Form44
Pirin Blagoevgrad badge

Pirin Blagoevgrad

Attack17
Defence28
Form0

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model82.3%
The market82.6%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.21

Draw No Bet

Nesebar (DNB)

Correct
Our model69.9%
The market76.9%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market58.1%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market52.5%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.86

Match Winner

Nesebar Win

Correct
Our model41.2%
The market52.6%
Edge
-11.4
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model22.5%
The market25.9%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
3.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

22.5%

0-0

19.5%

2-0

15.4%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.