Second League badgeSecond League · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Nesebar badgeNesebarvsRilski Sportist badgeRilski Sportist

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.8%
Market said
44.8%
Edge
+24.0 pts
Best odds
2.23

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Nesebar Win

Match Winner · best price 2.23

MediumEdge +24.0%
Our model68.8%
The market44.8%

The market underrated this by 24.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Nesebar badge

Nesebar

Attack67
Defence47
Form44
Rilski Sportist badge

Rilski Sportist

Attack29
Defence53
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model89.4%
The market79.4%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Nesebar (DNB)

Edge +27.3%Correct
Our model86.5%
The market59.2%
Edge
+27.3
Odds
1.69

Match Winner

Nesebar Win

Edge +24.0%Correct
Our model68.8%
The market44.8%
Edge
+24.0
Odds
2.23

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.9%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.82

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.6%
The market62.1%
Edge
-7.5
Odds
1.61

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.5%
The market15.5%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.46

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.5%

2-0

13.3%

1-1

11.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.