World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 14 June 2026AI PICK

Netherlands badgeNetherlandsvsJapan badgeJapan

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
77.3%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+24.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

High confidenceEdge +24.9%
Our model77.3%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 24.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Netherlands badge

Netherlands

Attack52
Defence70
Form58
Japan badge

Japan

Attack100
Defence100
Form84

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.9%Correct
Our model77.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+24.9
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.6%Correct
Our model66.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Japan (DNB)

Void
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Japan Win

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model39.4%
The market27.8%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
3.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.0%
The market6.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.40

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

1-3

7.7%

0-2

5.7%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.