World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 20 June 2026AI PICK

Netherlands badgeNetherlandsvsSweden badgeSweden

5 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.8%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+24.4 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

High confidenceEdge +24.4%
Our model76.8%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 24.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Netherlands badge

Netherlands

Attack53
Defence60
Form53
Sweden badge

Sweden

Attack100
Defence36
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.4%Correct
Our model76.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
+24.4
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.3%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Sweden (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sweden Win

Edge +17.0%
Our model37.0%
The market20.0%
Edge
+17.0
Odds
5.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.2%
The market7.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.2%

1-3

7.4%

2-2

6.1%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.