Challenge League badgeChallenge League · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Neuchatel Xamax FC badgeNeuchatel Xamax FCvsÉtoile Carouge badgeÉtoile Carouge

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
64.5%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.55

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.55

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model67.4%
The market64.5%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Neuchatel Xamax FC badge

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Attack49
Defence41
Form40
Étoile Carouge badge

Étoile Carouge

Attack65
Defence51
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model67.4%
The market64.5%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.55

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model65.6%
The market68.5%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.46

Draw No Bet

Neuchatel Xamax FC (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Neuchatel Xamax FC Win

Our model35.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.19

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

7.8%

2-1

7.3%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.