Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 25 July 2026AI PICK

New England Revolution badgeNew England RevolutionvsAtlanta United FC badgeAtlanta United FC

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model55.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New England Revolution badge

New England Revolution

Attack46
Defence62
Form61
Atlanta United FC badge

Atlanta United FC

Attack36
Defence56
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

New England Revolution (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

New England Revolution Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

12.7%

2-0

8.0%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.