Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 16 May 2026AI PICK

New England Revolution badgeNew England RevolutionvsMinnesota United FC badgeMinnesota United FC

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+17.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +17.8%
Our model71.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 17.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

New England Revolution badge

New England Revolution

Attack67
Defence56
Form60
Minnesota United FC badge

Minnesota United FC

Attack42
Defence47
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.8%Correct
Our model71.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+17.8
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

New England Revolution (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

New England Revolution Win

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.0%
The market7.8%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0% · actual

3-1

7.2%

1-0

6.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.