Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 9 May 2026AI PICK

New England Revolution badgeNew England RevolutionvsPhiladelphia Union badgePhiladelphia Union

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.4%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+22.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

High confidenceEdge +22.1%
Our model73.4%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 22.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

New England Revolution badge

New England Revolution

Attack67
Defence51
Form52
Philadelphia Union badge

Philadelphia Union

Attack46
Defence63
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.1%Correct
Our model73.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+22.1
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model67.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

New England Revolution Win

Edge +15.0%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

New England Revolution (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7% · actual

3-1

7.0%

2-2

6.6%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.