USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 27 August 2026AI PICK

New Mexico United badgeNew Mexico UnitedvsLexington badgeLexington

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
54.7%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model58.2%
The market54.7%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New Mexico United badge

New Mexico United

Attack67
Defence100
Form74
Lexington badge

Lexington

Attack72
Defence51
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model78.2%
The market78.7%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market54.7%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market60.3%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.61

Draw No Bet

New Mexico United (DNB)

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market48.5%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.06

Match Winner

New Mexico United Win

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model42.1%
The market38.6%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
2.59

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.