USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 14 June 2026AI PICK

New Mexico United badgeNew Mexico UnitedvsOrange County SC badgeOrange County SC

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.4%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.8%
Our model60.4%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

New Mexico United badge

New Mexico United

Attack49
Defence45
Form51
Orange County SC badge

Orange County SC

Attack50
Defence64
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model60.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.9%Close
Our model55.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

New Mexico United (DNB)

Void
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

New Mexico United Win

Miss
Our model45.6%
The market54.6%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0%

1-1

9.8% · actual

0-1

9.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.