USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 30 August 2026AI PICK

New Mexico United badgeNew Mexico UnitedvsSan Antonio badgeSan Antonio

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
57.0%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.69

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.69

MediumEdge +4.3%
Our model61.3%
The market57.0%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New Mexico United badge

New Mexico United

Attack66
Defence100
Form74
San Antonio badge

San Antonio

Attack52
Defence56
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.5%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

New Mexico United (DNB)

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model66.2%
The market60.6%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.65

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market57.0%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.69

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market60.5%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.58

Match Winner

New Mexico United Win

Edge +1.0%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market49.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
2.04

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

10.6%

2-0

6.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.