USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 21 May 2026AI PICK

New Mexico United badgeNew Mexico UnitedvsTampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay Rowdies

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+7.7 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +7.7%
Our model63.3%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

New Mexico United badge

New Mexico United

Attack49
Defence38
Form49
Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack52
Defence100
Form79

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.7%Miss
Our model63.3%
The market55.6%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market58.8%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

New Mexico United (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

New Mexico United Win

Edge +17.9%Miss
Our model47.3%
The market29.4%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
3.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.9%
The market7.7%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.9%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

8.3%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.