Major League Soccer · 25 July 2026AI PICK
New York City FCvs
Chicago Fire
3 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.4%
- Market said
- 59.7%
- Edge
- +9.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
New York City FC
Chicago Fire
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.7
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
Chicago Fire (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Chicago Fire Win
- Edge
- +5.8
- Odds
- 2.70
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.