Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 10 May 2026AI PICK

New York City FC badgeNew York City FCvsColumbus Crew badgeColumbus Crew

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+15.0 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +15.0%
Our model73.8%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 15.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack59
Defence48
Form40
Columbus Crew badge

Columbus Crew

Attack57
Defence63
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.0%Correct
Our model73.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model68.5%
The market61.7%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

New York City FC (DNB)

Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

New York City FC Win

Our model41.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.0%
Our model8.0%
The market7.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
14.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.0%

2-2

7.2%

1-2

6.9%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.