Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 3 May 2026AI PICK

New York City FC badgeNew York City FCvsDC United badgeDC United

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

LowEdge +0.8%
Our model54.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack58
Defence49
Form38
DC United badge

DC United

Attack29
Defence55
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

New York City FC (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.8%Close
Our model54.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

New York City FC Win

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model52.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.