Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 22 April 2026AI PICK

New York City FC badgeNew York City FCvsFC Cincinnati badgeFC Cincinnati

4 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.9%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+20.1 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +20.1%
Our model78.9%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 20.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack61
Defence57
Form49
FC Cincinnati badge

FC Cincinnati

Attack70
Defence44
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.1%Correct
Our model78.9%
The market58.8%
Edge
+20.1
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.1%Correct
Our model71.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

New York City FC Win

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model50.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

New York City FC (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.