Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 4 September 2026AI PICK

New York City FC badgeNew York City FCvsNashville SC badgeNashville SC

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
55.7%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +5.5%
Our model61.2%
The market55.7%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack44
Defence67
Form42
Nashville SC badge

Nashville SC

Attack65
Defence80
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model78.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Nashville SC (DNB)

Edge +17.0%Void
Our model66.0%
The market49.0%
Edge
+17.0
Odds
2.04

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market55.7%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market60.3%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Nashville SC Win

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market38.5%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.56

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

9.8%

2-2

6.8%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.