Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 16 August 2026AI PICK

New York City FC badgeNew York City FCvsPhiladelphia Union badgePhiladelphia Union

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.8%
Markets called
3 of 5 right
Final score
2 - 3

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge -0.7%
Our model57.8%
The market58.5%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack48
Defence63
Form47
Philadelphia Union badge

Philadelphia Union

Attack52
Defence47
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market78.1%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.8%
The market58.5%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

New York City FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market62.1%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

New York City FC Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market46.5%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.2%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-1

10.9%

1-2

8.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.