Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 4 April 2026AI PICK

New York City FC badgeNew York City FCvsSt. Louis City badgeSt. Louis City

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 6 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

New York City FC Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.1%
Our model55.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Winner : New York City FC

How the two sides compared

New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack72
Defence67
Form67
St. Louis City badge

St. Louis City

Attack22
Defence61
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 6 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +18.6%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

New York City FC Win

Edge +5.1%Miss
Our model55.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5 Goals

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 3.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

New York City FC (DNB)

Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 6 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.