Major League Soccer · 31 July 2026AI PICK
New York City FCvs
Toronto FC
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.4%
- Market said
- 55.5%
- Edge
- +1.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
New York City FC
Toronto FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.9
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
New York City FC (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
New York City FC Win
- Edge
- -10.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.38
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.3%
1-1
11.6% · actual
1-2
7.2%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.