Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 2 May 2026AI PICK

New York Red Bulls badgeNew York Red BullsvsFC Dallas badgeFC Dallas

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +5.5%
Our model70.9%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New York Red Bulls badge

New York Red Bulls

Attack51
Defence32
Form36
FC Dallas badge

FC Dallas

Attack60
Defence63
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Close
Our model70.9%
The market65.4%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model67.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

New York Red Bulls (DNB)

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

New York Red Bulls Win

Miss
Our model45.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.