US Open Cup badgeUS Open Cup · 29 April 2026AI PICK

New York Red Bulls badgeNew York Red BullsvsNew York City FC badgeNew York City FC

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.9%
Market said
60.2%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

High confidenceEdge +10.7%
Our model70.9%
The market60.2%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

New York Red Bulls badge

New York Red Bulls

Attack55
Defence30
Form36
New York City FC badge

New York City FC

Attack62
Defence49
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Correct
Our model70.9%
The market60.2%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model67.3%
The market65.4%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

New York Red Bulls (DNB)

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

New York Red Bulls Win

Miss
Our model47.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.