Major League Soccer · 16 May 2026AI PICK
New York Red Bullsvs
New York City FC
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.4%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +9.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 1.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
New York Red Bulls (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
New York Red Bulls Win
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 2.25
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 14.28
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.