New Zealandvs
Belgium
1 - 5Correct
Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 62.7%
- Markets called
- 3 of 5 right
- Final score
- 1 - 5
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.36
MediumEdge -10.8%
Our model62.7%
The market73.5%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
New Zealand
Attack100
Defence58
Form58
Belgium
Attack84
Defence100
Form67
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model75.3%
The market90.9%
- Edge
- -15.6
- Odds
- 1.10
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model62.7%
The market73.5%
- Edge
- -10.8
- Odds
- 1.36
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
New Zealand (DNB)
Miss
Our model48.4%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -8.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
New Zealand Win
Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model11.2%
The market6.7%
- Edge
- +4.5
- Odds
- 15.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.