Premier League badgePremier League · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Newcastle badgeNewcastlevsBournemouth badgeBournemouth

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.0%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+2.3 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +2.3%
Our model69.0%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Newcastle badge

Newcastle

Attack70
Defence32
Form42
Bournemouth badge

Bournemouth

Attack55
Defence60
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model65.7%
The market69.4%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Newcastle (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Newcastle Win

Edge +3.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.