Premier League badgePremier League · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Newcastle badgeNewcastlevsBrighton badgeBrighton

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.6%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model63.6%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Newcastle badge

Newcastle

Attack66
Defence36
Form42
Brighton badge

Brighton

Attack46
Defence69
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model63.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model62.9%
The market63.7%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Newcastle (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Newcastle Win

Correct
Our model48.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.