Premier League badgePremier League · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Newcastle badgeNewcastlevsWest Ham badgeWest Ham

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.7%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+17.9 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Newcastle Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +17.9%
Our model66.7%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 17.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Newcastle badge

Newcastle

Attack63
Defence36
Form38
West Ham badge

West Ham

Attack39
Defence59
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Newcastle Win

Edge +17.9%Correct
Our model66.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model64.5%
The market69.4%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Newcastle (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.0%
The market9.6%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

9.0%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.