League Two · 15 August 2026AI PICK
Newport Countyvs
Rochdale
3 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 48.7%
- Edge
- +9.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +8.4
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Newport County (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Newport County Win
- Edge
- +17.2
- Odds
- 2.90
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.4%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
6.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.