League Two badgeLeague Two · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Newport County badgeNewport CountyvsTranmere badgeTranmere

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
45.4%
Edge
+12.8 pts
Best odds
2.12

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.12

MediumEdge +12.8%
Our model58.2%
The market45.4%

The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Newport County badge

Newport County

Attack83
Defence34
Form47
Tranmere badge

Tranmere

Attack69
Defence100
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.2%
The market71.4%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market45.4%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
2.12

Draw No Bet

Newport County (DNB)

Edge +5.2%Void
Our model57.0%
The market51.8%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.93

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model53.9%
The market53.0%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Newport County Win

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model42.1%
The market38.9%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
2.57

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

7.1% · actual

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.