League One badgeLeague One · 13 July 2026AI PICK

Ningbo Professional badgeNingbo ProfessionalvsDongguan United badgeDongguan United

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+4.6 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +4.6%
Our model55.9%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ningbo Professional badge

Ningbo Professional

Attack57
Defence51
Form53
Dongguan United badge

Dongguan United

Attack42
Defence33
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Ningbo Professional (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market87.7%
Edge
-13.5
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Ningbo Professional Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
-18.1
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

1-0

9.2% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.