Serie D - Girone I · 10 May 2026AI PICK
Nissavs
Gelbison
4 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.9%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +3.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Nissa
Gelbison
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 1.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Nissa (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Nissa Win
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.83
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.