First League badgeFirst League · 12 July 2026AI PICK

Nizhny Novgorod badgeNizhny NovgorodvsRotor Volgograd badgeRotor Volgograd

4 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
45.8%
Edge
+16.2 pts
Best odds
2.12

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.12

MediumEdge +16.2%
Our model62.0%
The market45.8%

The market underrated this by 16.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nizhny Novgorod badge

Nizhny Novgorod

Attack63
Defence50
Form46
Rotor Volgograd badge

Rotor Volgograd

Attack56
Defence75
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.2%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market45.8%
Edge
+16.2
Odds
2.12

Draw No Bet

Nizhny Novgorod (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model58.5%
The market50.6%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.90

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model50.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
-34.7
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Nizhny Novgorod Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-12.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.5%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.5%

1-1

9.1%

2-2

7.2%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.