Nizhny Novgorodvs
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 78.7%
- Market said
- 43.9%
- Edge
- +34.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.21
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.21
The market underrated this by 34.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Nizhny Novgorod
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +34.8
- Odds
- 2.21
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +31.2
- Odds
- 2.10
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.26
Draw No Bet
Nizhny Novgorod (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Nizhny Novgorod Win
- Edge
- -9.4
- Odds
- 1.68
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.