First League badgeFirst League · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Nizhny Novgorod badgeNizhny NovgorodvsVolga Ulyanovsk badgeVolga Ulyanovsk

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.8%
Market said
52.3%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86

MediumEdge +10.5%
Our model62.8%
The market52.3%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Nizhny Novgorod badge

Nizhny Novgorod

Attack100
Defence50
Form80
Volga Ulyanovsk badge

Volga Ulyanovsk

Attack46
Defence49
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model78.8%
The market89.3%
Edge
-10.5
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Nizhny Novgorod (DNB)

Void
Our model70.2%
The market80.6%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Correct
Our model62.8%
The market52.3%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
1.86

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market50.1%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.92

Match Winner

Nizhny Novgorod Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market65.8%
Edge
-15.8
Odds
1.52

Correct Score

Score: 3-1

Miss
Our model8.3%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.53

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-1

8.3%

2-1

7.7%

4-1

6.6%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.