HNL badgeHNL · 10 May 2026AI PICK

NK Osijek badgeNK OsijekvsIstra 1961 badgeIstra 1961

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.4%
Market said
50.5%
Edge
+13.9 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.98

MediumEdge +13.9%
Our model64.4%
The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 13.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

NK Osijek badge

NK Osijek

Attack22
Defence51
Form40
Istra 1961 badge

Istra 1961

Attack34
Defence40
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +13.9%Correct
Our model64.4%
The market50.5%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
1.98

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model60.5%
The market53.2%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

NK Osijek Win

Miss
Our model47.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

NK Osijek (DNB)

Miss
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

20.1% · actual

0-0

18.3%

1-0

16.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.