HNL badgeHNL · 22 August 2026AI PICK

NK Slaven Belupo badgeNK Slaven BelupovsHNK Gorica badgeHNK Gorica

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
54.7%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model59.4%
The market54.7%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

NK Slaven Belupo badge

NK Slaven Belupo

Attack56
Defence37
Form33
HNK Gorica badge

HNK Gorica

Attack37
Defence64
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model75.8%
The market67.6%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

NK Slaven Belupo (DNB)

Edge +18.7%Correct
Our model67.2%
The market48.5%
Edge
+18.7
Odds
2.06

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Close
Our model59.4%
The market54.7%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market61.0%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.56

Match Winner

NK Slaven Belupo Win

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model49.4%
The market36.5%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
2.74

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
9.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

10.4%

2-0

7.4% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.