HNL badgeHNL · 22 April 2026AI PICK

NK Varazdin badgeNK VarazdinvsHNK Rijeka badgeHNK Rijeka

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model59.4%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

NK Varazdin badge

NK Varazdin

Attack46
Defence45
Form47
HNK Rijeka badge

HNK Rijeka

Attack51
Defence57
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market53.5%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.87

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market46.3%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.16

Draw No Bet

NK Varazdin (DNB)

Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

NK Varazdin Win

Our model40.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-9.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.