HNL · 16 August 2026AI PICK
NK Varazdinvs
HNK Rijeka
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 48.9%
- Edge
- +9.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 9.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Draw No Bet
NK Varazdin (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
NK Varazdin Win
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 3.25
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.