HNL badgeHNL · 23 May 2026AI PICK

NK Varazdin badgeNK VarazdinvsIstra 1961 badgeIstra 1961

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
45.9%
Edge
+13.0 pts
Best odds
2.18

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

NK Varazdin Win

Match Winner · best price 2.18

MediumEdge +13.0%
Our model58.9%
The market45.9%

The market underrated this by 13.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

NK Varazdin badge

NK Varazdin

Attack45
Defence45
Form42
Istra 1961 badge

Istra 1961

Attack30
Defence44
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%
Our model85.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.34

Draw No Bet

NK Varazdin (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

NK Varazdin Win

Edge +13.0%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market45.9%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
2.18

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.9%
The market61.3%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.63

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.3%Close
Our model17.8%
The market15.5%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
6.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.8%

0-1

11.7%

1-1

10.8%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.