Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Noordwijk badgeNoordwijkvsSteDoCo badgeSteDoCo

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+20.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Noordwijk Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +20.6%
Our model70.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 20.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Noordwijk badge

Noordwijk

Attack59
Defence55
Form53
SteDoCo badge

SteDoCo

Attack29
Defence38
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Match Winner

Noordwijk Win

Edge +20.6%Correct
Our model70.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+20.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Noordwijk (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
-9.6
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model11.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.9%

2-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.