Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Noordwijk badgeNoordwijkvsTOGB badgeTOGB

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.3%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+22.7 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +22.7%
Our model75.3%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 22.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Noordwijk badge

Noordwijk

Attack59
Defence49
Form49
TOGB badge

TOGB

Attack59
Defence59
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.7%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
+22.7
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.2%Correct
Our model69.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Noordwijk (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Noordwijk Win

Miss
Our model49.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.