Noroestevs
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.1%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +0.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectNoroeste Win
Match Winner · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Noroeste
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Noroeste Win
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Noroeste (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -12.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 8.12
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.2% · actual
1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.1%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.