Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Noroeste badgeNoroestevsSampaio Corrêa RJ badgeSampaio Corrêa RJ

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.1%
Market said
62.5%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Noroeste Win

Match Winner · best price 1.60

MediumEdge +0.6%
Our model63.1%
The market62.5%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Noroeste badge

Noroeste

Attack61
Defence54
Form42
Sampaio Corrêa RJ badge

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Attack44
Defence48
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Noroeste Win

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market62.5%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.60

Draw No Bet

Noroeste (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market60.6%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model49.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
-12.4
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model14.2%
The market12.3%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
8.12

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.2% · actual

1-1

10.5%

0-1

10.1%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.