Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Noroeste badgeNoroestevsVelo Clube badgeVelo Clube

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
62.8%
Markets called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Final score
3 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge -2.6%
Our model62.8%
The market65.4%

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Noroeste badge

Noroeste

Attack58
Defence49
Form38
Velo Clube badge

Velo Clube

Attack28
Defence42
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Noroeste (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model62.8%
The market65.4%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Noroeste Win

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model42.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model20.7%
The market18.0%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
5.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.7%

2-0

13.3%

0-0

11.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.