League Two badgeLeague Two · 1 September 2026AI PICK

Northampton badgeNorthamptonvsCrawley Town badgeCrawley Town

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
1.96

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model58.2%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Northampton badge

Northampton

Attack32
Defence50
Form33
Crawley Town badge

Crawley Town

Attack36
Defence61
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model78.5%
The market84.7%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Northampton (DNB)

Void
Our model71.4%
The market71.4%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market51.0%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.96

Match Winner

Northampton Win

Miss
Our model53.6%
The market57.5%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.74

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model52.5%
The market50.8%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.97

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

1-1

15.1% · actual

0-1

13.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.