Norwayvs
England
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.0%
- Market said
- 56.2%
- Edge
- +5.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Norway
England
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -3.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.8
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Norway (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Norway Win
- Edge
- +16.1
- Odds
- 4.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.3%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.