World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 11 July 2026AI PICK

Norway badgeNorwayvsEngland badgeEngland

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model62.0%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Norway badge

Norway

Attack66
Defence51
Form63
England badge

England

Attack62
Defence95
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market56.2%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Norway (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model58.5%
The market58.6%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Norway Win

Edge +16.1%Miss
Our model41.1%
The market25.0%
Edge
+16.1
Odds
4.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.1%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.