Premier League 2 Division One badgePremier League 2 Division One · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Norwich City U21 badgeNorwich City U21vsStoke City U21 badgeStoke City U21

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
34.2%
Edge
+27.1 pts
Best odds
2.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.92

MediumEdge +27.1%
Our model61.3%
The market34.2%

The market underrated this by 27.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Norwich City U21 badge

Norwich City U21

Attack33
Defence95
Form58
Stoke City U21 badge

Stoke City U21

Attack21
Defence47
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.4%
The market89.3%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Norwich City U21 (DNB)

Void
Our model71.8%
The market74.6%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +27.1%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market34.2%
Edge
+27.1
Odds
2.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +16.4%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market37.6%
Edge
+16.4
Odds
2.66

Match Winner

Norwich City U21 Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market64.5%
Edge
-14.5
Odds
1.55

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.9%
The market16.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.9%

1-1

14.0%

0-0

12.7% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.